Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002003 0.002183 0.002363 0.002555 0.002755 0.002956 0.003172
2025-02-02 0.001739 0.002024 0.002315 0.002636 0.002977 0.003327 0.003712
2025-02-09 0.001547 0.001915 0.002304 0.002740 0.003213 0.003707 0.004260
2025-02-16 0.001419 0.001860 0.002337 0.002882 0.003483 0.004120 0.004839
2025-02-23 0.001158 0.001634 0.002163 0.002784 0.003480 0.004228 0.005083
2025-03-02 0.000968 0.001470 0.002046 0.002735 0.003520 0.004375 0.005363
2025-03-09 0.000833 0.001360 0.001980 0.002736 0.003610 0.004570 0.005690
2025-03-16 0.000740 0.001290 0.001955 0.002778 0.003741 0.004808 0.006060
2025-03-23 0.000665 0.001237 0.001944 0.002833 0.003882 0.005055 0.006437
2025-03-30 0.000588 0.001173 0.001915 0.002861 0.003990 0.005260 0.006766
2025-04-06 0.000510 0.001101 0.001870 0.002866 0.004067 0.005428 0.007050
2025-04-13 0.000440 0.001032 0.001825 0.002868 0.004138 0.005585 0.007319
2025-04-20 0.000381 0.000978 0.001798 0.002892 0.004236 0.005778 0.007633
2025-04-27 0.000327 0.000923 0.001767 0.002910 0.004327 0.005961 0.007937
2025-05-04 0.000295 0.000901 0.001779 0.002981 0.004481 0.006218 0.008325
2025-05-11 0.000284 0.000912 0.001835 0.003108 0.004702 0.006553 0.008802
2025-05-18 0.000204 0.000795 0.001707 0.002994 0.004626 0.006538 0.008875
2025-05-25 0.000152 0.000714 0.001626 0.002936 0.004617 0.006600 0.009033
2025-06-01 0.000119 0.000666 0.001588 0.002934 0.004675 0.006738 0.009280
2025-06-08 0.000099 0.000641 0.001584 0.002976 0.004787 0.006941 0.009601
2025-06-15 0.000084 0.000625 0.001591 0.003031 0.004915 0.007162 0.009943
2025-06-22 0.000066 0.000597 0.001579 0.003060 0.005008 0.007342 0.010236
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000560 0.001550 0.003065 0.005071 0.007484 0.010484